The draft is right around the corner, and there are lots of mock drafts coming out.
|MLB.com||Baseball America||Scout.com||Minor League Ball|
|Mariners||Aaron Nola||Sean Newcomb||Jackson||Touki Tossaint|
What you can see is that pretty much everyone agrees on the “Top 4” (it had been the “Top 5” until Jeff Hoffman slid due to TJ surgery), and that everyone seems to think the Twins are set on high school shortstop Nick Gordon.
So things could go two ways:
1. According to Form. In which the Top 4 are picked in the top four slots, and Gordon goes to Minnesota. In that case, the M’s have their choice of anyone they think is No. 6. As you can see, the different mocks have different views. LSU’s Nola and Hartford’s Newcomb seem to be the most likely, although Evansville’s Kyle Freeland is also getting mentioned. Toussaint is not generally considered likely to go as high as No. 6, but he could be worth it, and might agree to a smaller bonus.
Nola is considered to have the shortest path to the majors, but then so did Danny Hultzen. Newcomb is very interesting, but Nola would be hard to pass over. Houston supposedly has him as one of the six under consideration for No. 1 overall.
2. Cubs Wrinkle. Of all the teams likely to upset the “form” — the Cubs seem most likely. As you can see, the Scout.com mock has the Cubs taking Nola. Others have linked them to Kennesaw State catcher Max Pentecost. If they cut a deal then they would have more to spend on lower picks.
If the Twins are wedded to Gordon, then one of the Top 4 could slide to the Mariners. It almost certainly wouldn’t be Aiken, but any of Kolek, Jackson or Rodon could fall to Seattle in that scenario. I think the M’s would be thrilled with any of them, but particularly Jackson, who is the one hitter considered worthy of a top-of-the-draft selection.