MB 100 | Top 40 | No. 35 Anthony Fernandez, LHP

35

== Jackson harder than High Desert? Really? ==

MB 100 No. 35Anthony Fernandez

LHP | 2014 Age: 24 | 6-4, 210

International free agent from Dominican Republic

2013 Ranking: No. 23

Year Age Tm Lev W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9
2007 17 Mariners FRk 1 2 3.80 18 0 2 23.2 13 14 10 3 24 22 1.563 4.9 1.1 9.1 8.4
2008 18 Mariners FRk 4 4 3.93 16 6 0 50.1 42 34 22 0 27 41 1.371 7.5 0.0 4.8 7.3
2009 19 Mariners Rk 5 3 3.40 13 2 0 53.0 56 30 20 0 13 53 1.302 9.5 0.0 2.2 9.0
2010 20 Everett A- 8 3 2.59 15 15 0 83.1 75 29 24 1 18 69 1.116 8.1 0.1 1.9 7.5
2011 21 2 Teams A-A+ 8 5 3.64 28 26 0 153.1 157 76 62 10 55 133 1.383 9.2 0.6 3.2 7.8
2012 22 2 Teams A+-AA 6 8 3.51 27 27 0 164.0 163 72 64 12 38 134 1.226 8.9 0.7 2.1 7.4
2013 23 Jackson AA 9 8 4.42 22 22 0 120.0 117 69 59 13 40 74 1.308 8.8 1.0 3.0 5.6
7 Seasons 41 33 3.63 139 98 2 647.2 623 324 261 39 215 526 1.294 8.7 0.5 3.0 7.3
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 3/20/2014.

***

Spectometer Analysis:

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Goal < 1% Goal < 6% Goal < 14% Goal < .100 Goal > 20% Strong prospect > 100
2008 17 “-2” 0.00% 12.22% 15.84% 0.054 18.55% 82 112 94
2009 18 “-1” 0.00% 5.68% 12.66% 0.086 23.14% 134 112 146
2010 19 “0” 0.30% 5.49% 12.50% 0.095 21.04% 127 105 133
2011 20 “+1” 1.53% 8.41% 14.98% 0.115 20.34% 100 100 100
2012 21 “0” 1.76% 5.58% 13.36% 0.134 19.68% 114 96 110
2013 22 “0” 2.58% 7.95% 17.69% 0.168 14.71% 74 76 50

===

Special Sauce:

  • An-Fernan pitched as well as any Mariner prospect has pitched in High Desert: 0.6 HR/9 | 1.4 BB/9 | 8.1 K/9
  • He was added to the 40-man roster after his strong 2012 season.
  • He is not related to former Blue Jay shortstop star Tony Fernandez.

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It’s just one pitch, and it won’t embed, so you have to click on the image to see it, but it’s pretty much the only video we’ve got.

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Commentary:

I haven’t found any basis for it (other than he started the year on the disabled list), but I don’t think Fernandez was right physically in 2013.  Otherwise, his year makes no sense.

Why would a guy who was so hard to hit in High Desert — where hitters thrive (and then some) in the dry, windy conditions at altitude — be so hittable in Tennessee?  It wasn’t just that he was being hit harder, his strikeout rate dropped a bunch, too.  All of which makes me suspicious that something was keeping from executing his pitches.

Of course, it’s possible that he just wasn’t good enough for the higher level of competition, but I doubt that given what he did on the way up the ladder.  Either way, he’s got to be downgraded until he regains form.  On top of that, Roenis Elias, another lefty starter who’s been on a parallel track, has been making forward progress while An-Fernan spun his wheels.  Elias is older (but with an explanation) and throws a bit harder.

Elias moves from behind Fernandez to ahead of him, but if Fernandez can regain what he had prior to 2013, it will be good to have both.

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Extra Innings:

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