If Franklin to O’s — Got any Hitters?

os2== Not in the minors anyway ==

The latest buzz has Nick Franklin being linked to the Baltimore Orioles, in addition to prior links to the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays.

Here’s a link explaining the O’s current options at second base.  Obviously, they are not desperate, but none of those options is too thrilling either, given that both Ryan Flaherty and Jemile Weeks have had a healthy dose of MLB experience and haven’t set the world on fire (.658 and .677 career OPS, respectively).

So Franklin seems like an upgrade, even if he might shove prospect Jonathan Schoop aside.

Their recent signings of Nelson Cruz and Ubaldo Jimenez — to go with breakout slugger Chris Davis and super-prospect Manny Machado (assuming he gets healthy) — indicate the O’s are serious about keeping pace in the AL East.

So …

Any hitters that the M’s would want back?

As with the Mets and Rays, I went through “batch processing” of the 2013 minor league stats through the Spectometer analytical approach, to see who bubbled up.  That has the advantage of seeing who was producing interesting numbers without preconceptions, but the disadvantage of not taking into account injuries or guys with “stories” (e.g. Patrick Kivlehan taking off four years to play football).

And whom did I come up with?  One guy.

Actually, there couple of others who came up as mildly interesting.  But one of them was Ty Kelly — whom the Mariners already acquired!

And another had already been traded to the Brewers!

So here’s the one guy:

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
Michael Ohlman 22 “+1” 3.07% 13.21% 24.06% 0.211 21.93% 116 110 126

Ohlman is a catcher who might not stick there.  But it’s not like the M’s are in great need of a young right-handed catcher.

Then there’s Henry Urrutia, who would ordinarily get a downgrade due to his age (26), but he’s one of those “story” players — a lengthy process to defect from Cuba and make it to U.S. pro ball.

His chart looks like this:

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
Henry Urrutia 26 “+3” 2.59% 9.22% 18.16% 0.159 14.70% 103 96 99

He seems like a pretty big gamble to take with your Franklin chip.

In other words, unless the O’s want to cannibalize their MLB hitters to add Franklin (doubtful), I’m not seeing any offensive help coming from Baltimore.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s