So here is the final installment of the the “left-handed tilt” series. For now.
Thus far, we’ve found reason to be concerned — as Robinson Cano is — about the lack of above-average bats vs. left-handed pitching who aren’t coming off an entire missed season due to surgery on both knees (Corey Hart, of course).
At the same time, we’ve found nothing worth busting the bank or cashing in the Nick Franklin chip for.
But there are also reasons to keep the powder dry. Especially the Nick Franklin powder.
The broken jaw knocked Deeeej! off the fast track in 2013, but the kid was on a tear.
Final season at New Mexico: .408/.520/.807 (yeah, .807 was the SLG, not the OPS)
Initial minor-league season (Short-Season & Low-A): .303/.365/.553
Now, it happens that, in the pros, D.J. did most of his damage against RH pitching (couldn’t find college splits). In fact, he had only one extra-base hit (a double) off a lefty in his initial minor-league season.
I don’t think that’s any reason for concern. In fact, it’s a good thing that he can be so dominant against same-handed pitching and still have upside. He ought to be well above-average against LH pitching once we have enough data to know, and that’s kind of scary-good to think about, given the kind of SLG he was putting up without mashing lefties.
Of course, the new issue with Deej is where he plays. He played third in the minors, and has played third in the spring games he’s gotten into, but third is kinda taken at the moment.
And the frequently-speculated-about Seager-to-second/D.J.-at-third flip is also blocked as well. At least for the next ten years.
So expect him to end up at 1b/DH (where a lot of folks thought he’d end up anyway). Could he show up and bolster Justin Smoak and Logan Morrison at those spots (in a nifty RH-LH-SH three-corner hat) this season?
- Zimmerman was in the majors after just 269 minor-league PAs, mostly at AA
- Longoria got a taste of AA his first year, but then spent all of the next year at AA and AAA before making the Show
Peterson probably would have made AA if not for the injury, and that’s where I expect he’ll start 2014. So if he does show up in Seattle, it probably won’t be till later in the summer. But if keeps hitting the way he did last year, there aren’t any RH sluggers in his way, right?
Yes, there are Zero Expectations. None. Nada. Zip. Zero Degrees Kelvin.
But who’s been out there six of eight games? Who had two hits and a walk Thursday, to show his first signs of life since … what? … 2011?
And — keeping in mind that there are Zero Expectations — zeeeee-ro! — we’ll just sneak a look at what all the fuss was about (just don’t get any expectations).
Here we’ve combined his results from 2009-11 (age-19 to age-21) vs. LH pitching:
|2009-2011 vs. LHP||19-21||A+ AA AAA||421||375||119||24||3||21||41||70||0.317||0.385||0.565||0.950|
And here’s the Spectometer breakdown for the same data:
|Year||Age||Lvl||HR%||BB%||XBH + BB%||ISO||K%||PSA+||Conv+||Comp|
|Age Arc||Slugger > 4%||Goal > 8.5%||Goal > 19%||Goal > .200||Goal < 20%||Strong Prospect > 100|
|2009-2011 vs. LHP||19-21||“-2”||4.99%||9.74%||21.14%||0.248||16.63%||118||123||141|
Was some of that fueled by the A-Rod medicinal crew? [Maybe]/[probably] but we’ll never know for sure. Can Montero recapture that kind of production?
They may have zero expectations, but I think they’d like to find out.