If Franklin to Mets, Any Hitters to Root For?

Usdollar100front== One More Mets Analysis ==

After yesterday’s analysis of the Mets pitchers, I did a quick run-through of the prospect hitters from the Met organization to see if anyone jumps out as a “fit” for a Nick Franklin trade.

As with the pitchers, I tried to run the numbers without preconceptions (although I obviously had looked at the prospect rankings after running the pitching stats).

Anyway, here’s what I came up with:

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
Travis d’Arnaud 24 “+1” 2.29% 19.08% 32.06% 0.228 17.56% 171 146 217
Daniel Muno# 24 “+2” 1.60% 16.40% 23.17% 0.130 17.29% 136 85 121
Jayce Boyd 22 “+1” 1.70% 11.53% 19.09% 0.131 11.53% 121 93 114
Kirk Nieuwenhuis* 25 “+2” 4.24% 12.12% 21.52% 0.217 23.64% 106 100 105
Travis Taijeron 24 “+2” 4.76% 9.73% 22.57% 0.260 27.12% 89 116 104
Victor Cruzado# 21 “+2” 1.83% 12.80% 20.12% 0.139 15.85% 117 87 104
Dustin Lawley 24 “+1” 4.86% 6.73% 19.07% 0.251 21.12% 85 115 100
Wilmer Flores 21 “-1” 3.24% 5.40% 17.28% 0.210 13.61% 89 111 100
Dominic Smith* 18 “-1” 1.46% 12.62% 20.87% 0.138 17.96% 110 86 96
Cesar Puello 22 “0” 4.24% 7.43% 17.77% 0.221 21.75% 80 98 78

I gotta say, Mets fans, that there’s not as much depth here as on the pitching chart.

I look for the combination of plate skills and production, and showing that combination at or below age-arc.  And you don’t see much of that here. The Mets have a several guys with excellent walk rates, but they’re combining that with .130 ISO.  The guys with power showed either sub-par patience or high K-rates.  Nor do you see guys who are excelling against older pitching.

  • Obviously, d’Arnaud and Flores grade well, but they won’t be part of a Franklin trade.
  • There is interest in Puello among M’s fans, and a RH-hitting OF is certainly on the Seattle agenda.  He had a very nice .326/.403/.547 slash line.  He doesn’t grade out as well on my ratings because his numbers were relatively high in singles and relatively low in doubles and walks, and that casts some doubt as to whether he can keep up that kind of performance.
  • Lawley is another interesting RH OF who has also played some 3b.  He had a break-out year (35 doubles, 26 HR), but all but six games were at High-A at age 24, so it’s hard to judge how much weight to give that.

So, all told, I’m not really seeing any prospect Mets hitters that are both plausible return for Franklin (meaning not d’Arnaud and not Flores; probably not LH Nieuwenhuis either) and ones that I’d be excited about getting.  As part of a package, sure.

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