MB100 | 26 in the Mix | Avery, Calderon, Campbell, Colvin

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== They Also Mix … ==

And here’s the final group of the 26 in the Mix.

  • A recent acquisition who’s played three games in the Mariner organization.
  • A young Venezuelan who made a splash.
  • Two U.S. college arms.

This will bring us to 60 of the MB100, with only the Top 40 left to go.  The whole thing is always linked above on the “MB100” page.

===

Xavier Avery | OF | 2014 age: 24 | LH

Traditional Hitting Statistics

Year Age Lvl G PA AB H 2b 3b HR BB K BA OBP SLG OPS
2008 18 Rk 47 192 175 49 8 1 0 10 51 0.280 0.333 0.337 0.670
2009 19 A 129 509 473 124 15 8 2 27 111 0.262 0.306 0.340 0.647
2010 20 A+-AA 136 618 554 150 31 6 7 49 130 0.271 0.337 0.386 0.723
2011 21 AA 138 626 557 144 31 2 4 49 156 0.259 0.324 0.343 0.666
2012 22 AAA 102 458 390 92 13 5 8 51 106 0.236 0.330 0.356 0.686
2013 23 AA-AAA 123 533 467 124 23 4 4 55 118 0.266 0.345 0.358 0.703

Spectometer Analysis

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
2008 18 “-1” 0.00% 5.21% 9.90% 0.057 26.56% 18 25 -58
2009 19 “0” 0.39% 5.30% 10.22% 0.078 21.81% 35 46 -19
2010 20 “-2” 1.13% 7.93% 15.05% 0.115 21.04% 64 64 28
2011 21 “-1” 0.64% 7.83% 13.74% 0.084 24.92% 47 42 -11
2012 22 “-1” 1.75% 11.14% 16.81% 0.120 23.14% 80 59 38
2013 23 “0” 0.75% 10.32% 16.14% 0.092 22.14% 73 56 28

Avery came over from Baltimore for Mike Morse in August of last year.  He had long been considered one of the O’s top prospects, but the results weren’t showing up in the batters box.

Although the Spectometer clearly hates him, Avery’s saving graces are:

  • He was rushed into AA by age 20 despite clearly not being ready from a hitting standpoint.
  • He seems to have figured out how to walk in the last two years, indicating a decent OBP is possible.
  • Speed: in five full seasons … 30, 38, 36, 22 & 30 steals.  And he plays center field.

He’s still not grading out to me as someone likely to succeed as an MLB hitter, but he might survive on defense and speed and just enough OBP to hold on.

===

Yordi Calderon | OF/IF | 2014 age: 20 | RH

Traditional Hitting Statistics

Year Age Lvl G PA AB H 2b 3b HR BB K BA OBP SLG OPS
2011 17 FRk 68 287 247 67 16 0 7 32 62 0.271 0.373 0.421 0.794
2012 18 FRk 64 240 205 43 11 2 6 25 66 0.210 0.307 0.371 0.677
2013 19 FRk-Rk 81 334 277 87 21 4 11 46 61 0.314 0.425 0.538 0.963

Spectometer Analysis

 

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
2011 17 “-2” 2.44% 11.15% 19.16% 0.150 21.60% 93 79 72
2012 18 “-1” 2.50% 10.42% 18.33% 0.161 27.50% 70 64 35
2013 19 “0” 3.29% 13.77% 24.55% 0.224 18.26% 132 120 151

How “real” was Calderon’s 2013 in Venezuela?  We don’t know yet, though we know he wasn’t as brilliant in his 13 games in the U.S. after promotion.

And the fact that we didn’t catapult him into the Top 40 indicates how much weight to put on the foreign stats.

But that season … wow.  Delivering 34 XBH and 39 BB in just 68 games, while cutting his strikeout rate down considerably is a great accomplishment.  We’ll see where he can go from here.

Calderon, by the way, played first, third and left in Venezuela, but was placed at third exclusively once he came to the states.  He also added 16 steals in Venezuela.

===

Eddie Campbell | Starter | 2014 age: 22 | LH

Traditional Pitching Statistics

Year Age Lvl W L ERA G SV IP H HR BB K WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9
2013 21 Rk 3 3 3.72 11 0 48.1 36 2 22 66 1.20 6.70 0.40 4.10 12.30

Spectometer Analysis

 

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Goal < 1% Goal < 6% Goal < 14% Goal < .100 Goal > 20% Strong prospect > 100
2013 21 Rk “+2” 1.02% 11.22% 17.86% 0.106 33.67% 122 127 149

Massachusetts native Campbell has pitched his post-high-school career in southwestern Virginia, first in Blacksburg at Virginia Tech, and then at Pulaski for the Appalachian League champs.

So how to evaluate what he did there?  Well, striking out one of every three hitters is impressive wherever you do it.  That being said, going from the ACC to Pulaski you’d expect him to excel.  And that walk rate will be worrisome once his strikeouts revert toward normalcy.

Still, Campbell dominated the batters he was asked to face, and not everyone does.  He certainly earned his place on the radar screen.

===

David Colvin | Reliever | 2014 age: 25 | RH

Traditional Pitching Statistics

2011 22 Rk-A- 2 1 2.17 16 0 29 32 1 13 29 1.55 9.90 0.30 4.00 9.00
2012 23 A 5 3 3.15 32 4 68.2 62 4 16 61 1.14 8.10 0.50 2.10 8.00
2013 24 A+ 5 0 2.34 32 1 57.2 57 2 13 62 1.21 8.90 0.30 2.00 9.70

Spectometer Analysis 

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Goal < 1% Goal < 6% Goal < 14% Goal < .100 Goal > 20% Strong prospect > 100
2011 22 “+3” 0.74% 9.56% 14.71% 0.075 21.32% 102 111 112
2012 23 “+3” 1.41% 5.99% 10.21% 0.083 21.48% 126 116 143
2013 24 “+3” 0.81% 5.24% 12.50% 0.121 25.00% 138 111 149

Two years ago, Colvin was like Campbell — what to make of a college pitcher in the low minors?  Colvin was different, however, in that he came out of a much smaller program at Pomona/Pitzer College in California.

Either way, Colvin now has two more years of excellent results to show off.  And he’s the rare pitcher who goes to High Desert and gets better.  We like that.

Of course, he’ll be 25 and only just getting to AA, though we’ve found that kind of thing matters less for pitchers.  If Colvin can keep doing what he’s been doing, he’ll have a shot.

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One thought on “MB100 | 26 in the Mix | Avery, Calderon, Campbell, Colvin

  1. The most promising foursome so far! Maybe its an illusion, but I loved Avery starting off with a new organization going 5 for 5. Calderon (and Wawoe) tore up the VSL last year: Campbell had an awesome stretch at Pulaski, and Colvin- well, how can you NOT root for ANYONE from Pomona?!

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