MB100 | 26 in the Mix | DeCarlo, Fontaine, Franca, Fry

1651fr

== The Mix Keeps Mixin’ ==

Here come four more.

Three high school position players, and a junior college pitcher.

Three northerners and one from Southern California.

One made a bit of a splash in 2013, and the others … didn’t.  But they’ve all got time.

===

Joe DeCarlo | 3b | 2014 age: 20 | RH

Traditional Hitting Statistics

Year Age Lvl G PA AB H 2b 3b HR BB K BA OBP SLG OPS
2012 18 Rk 53 223 182 43 12 3 4 31 47 0.236 0.368 0.401 0.769
2013 19 Rk 27 114 96 24 4 0 4 17 42 0.250 0.368 0.417 0.785

Spectometer Analysis

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
2012 18 “-1” 1.79% 13.90% 22.42% 0.165 21.08% 112 88 100
2013 19 “0” 3.51% 14.91% 21.93% 0.167 36.84% 77 45 22

It’s still a valid Spectometer rule of thumb that if you can get an extra-base hit or a walk more than 19% of plate appearances, you’re doing OK at the plate no matter how ugly the rest of your line is.  Well, Joe D. is taking that test to the extreme.  His very impressive walk rate and decent power made us think after 2012 that the 2nd-round draft pick (No. 64  overall) would be just fine.

But even after DeCarlo increased that BB-rate in 2013, there’s ample ground for skepticism, as his strikeout rate spiked through the roof.  Not even Babe Ruth with Barry Bonds’ medical team could survive striking out 37% of the time, and DeCarlo doesn’t have anything near that kind of power.

It is possible for the Jack Zduriencik-Tom McNamara crew to pick a bust in a high round.  Steve Baron, anyone?  So we won’t cling to DeCarlo forever, but there is some power-and-patience potential there if it can get unlocked.  And he was still just a teenager, so there’s no rush.

Video can be found at mlb.com here.

===

Lachlan Fontaine | 3b | 2014 age: 18 | LH

Traditional Hitting Statistics

Year Age Lvl G PA AB H 2b 3b HR BB K BA OBP SLG OPS
2013 17 Rk 18 73 65 13 2 0 0 8 13 0.200 0.288 0.231 0.518

Spectometer Analysis

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
2013 17 “-1” 0.00% 10.96% 13.70% 0.031 17.81% 80 47 26

You can’t tell too much from Fontaine’s 18-game debut, except that he showed good ability to draw walks and didn’t strike out much.  Then he and fellow draftee Tyler O’Neill left to join the Canadian 18&Under Junior National team at the 18U World Cup in Taiwan.  He wasn’t exactly on a hot streak there, going 2-for-18 in the first four games before sitting out the fifth game against Japan.

But Fontaine has a lot of upside, and was just 17.

Funny that DeCarlo and Fontaine ended up next to each other alphabetically, since they’re both young third basemen from northern climates with potential, but a lot to prove.  It will be interesting to see if either one takes off.

===

Gabrial Franca | Infielder | 2014 age: 20 | RH

Traditional Hitting Statistics

Year Age Lvl G PA AB H 2b 3b HR BB K BA OBP SLG OPS
2012 18 Rk-A+ 49 218 187 48 14 2 2 27 37 0.257 0.358 0.385 0.743
2013 19 Rk 54 199 160 34 2 1 0 37 29 0.213 0.367 0.238 0.604

Spectometer Analysis

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Slugger > 4% Goal > 8.5% Goal > 19% Goal > .200 Goal < 20% Strong Prospect > 100
2012 18 “-3” 0.92% 12.39% 20.64% 0.128 16.97% 109 86 95
2013 19 “0” 0.00% 18.59% 20.10% 0.025 14.57% 140 56 96

Franca is a genius at drawing walks, and hardly ever strikes out.  That makes  him capable of putting up an OBP over 100 points higher than his BABIP (batting average on balls in play) — that’s good.

But, in 2013, at least, that’s all he had going for him, and probably puts his ceiling at utility player.  But a utility player with great plate skills is much better than one without them.

Have we seen this before?  Yes, we have.  Fellow in-the-Mixer Jamodrick McGruder has the same deal.  Maybe someday they can be a walk-drawing utility platoon.

We also like to point out where area scouts seem to do an outstanding job, and the Inland Empire area of California has yielded Taijuan Walker, Stephen Landazuri and Franca (plus some others who haven’t really panned out yet [like James Zamarripa]).  The scouting folks there have a good track record, so that counts in Franca’s favor as well.

===

Paul Fry | Reliever | 2014 age: 21 | LH

Traditional Pitching Statistics

Year Age Lvl W L ERA G SV IP H HR BB K WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9
2013 20 Rk 2 3 4.50 14 1 34 41 3 8 34 1.44 10.90 0.80 2.10 9.00

Spectometer Analysis

Year Age Lvl HR% BB% XBH + BB% ISO K% PSA+ Conv+ Comp
Age Arc Goal < 1% Goal < 6% Goal < 14% Goal < .100 Goal > 20% Strong prospect > 100
2013 20 Rk “+1” 2.03% 5.41% 14.19% 0.157 22.97% 122 96 118

Fry came out of a junior college in Michigan, where he led all juco pitchers in the nation in strikeout rate.  Usually you discount what guys with college experience do in Arizona Rookie League, but Michigan juco (with all due respect) isn’t like pitching in the ACC or Pac-12.

Fry struck out plenty, was death on lefties (struck out 10 of 31, only giving up three singles and two doubles), and generally did what you’d hope to see.

His WHIP seems a bit inflated by bad fortune (.384 BABIP against), so Fry could move quickly up the chart as a lefty strikeout ace.

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