Today’s Mariner Squalls (01/27/14)

3481344198_4960e42717_b

== More Prospect Lists, etc. ==

Two more prospect lists arrive!

Baseball America.  Perhaps the granddaddy of them all.  My sense is that BA tends to be more scout-oriented than stat-driven, and that can result in some spotty results.  [For example, the late Greg Halman was No. 1 one year.  Halman was a great athlete, but never really put up any numbers that made him look like a sound bet as a major-league hitter.  Just my view.]

Anyway, the BA Top 10 is online right here, but we’ll recreate it for your clicking convenience.

1) Taijuan Walker.

2) D.J. Peterson

3) James Paxton

4) Luiz Gohara

5) Edwin Diaz

6) Austin Wilson

7) Victor Sanchez

8) Tyler Marlette

9) Chris Taylor

10) Danny Hultzen

There’s definitely a trend in these national lists.  They all seem to love Marlette way more than I do, and there’s no love whatsoever for our man Ji-Man Choi.  I am undeterred.

Pretty awesome to see the International Man of Mystery — Gohara — way, way, way up there.

===

And Baseball Prospectus has a Top 100 list.  You may recall, the other day we got one from MLB.com (in Friday’s Squalls).   In Mariner terms, the BP list is not much different.  Walker is No. 8 (instead of 6), but is the top pitcher (just ahead of Archie Bradley instead of just below).  Peterson is No. 65 (as opposed to 88).  And Paxton is listed at No. 68, whereas MLB.com left him off.

Everyone has Byron Buxton No. 1, as well they should.  Buxton totally rocks.

===

MLB Trade Rumors has an Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Ervin Santana poll.  At last check, Jimenez had a non-landslide lead.

My vote is with Jimenez, too, but it sounds like Jack Zduriencik will vote for “none of the above” unless the price drops down to bargain-bin rates.

And … that’s where Scott Baker comes in.

Advertisements

8 thoughts on “Today’s Mariner Squalls (01/27/14)

  1. I actually like Marlette a whole lot. He’s become a much better catcher over the last year, his BP was impressive (in a pull fashion), he guns down runners with regularity… He’s getting the hang of the position, it seems. It also looks like the Ms have succeeded in breaking him of his teen pull-fascination early, so that’s why his in-game power #s aren’t as impressive as they could be for his power potential. He’s being taught to go the other way, and is responding and keeping a solid eye and approach at the same time. He hits the ball solidly, and I expect his offensive game to continue to impress as he climbs the ladder. If he keeps throwing out runners at a 40% clip and can start handling the staff on an every-game basis, what’s not to like?

    • Hello, Gordon! I don’t dislike Marlette. But Littlewood threw out baserunners at a higher clip, walked almost twice as much in fewer plate appearances, and had only one fewer double. Marlette’s numbers seemed propped up by a .360 BABIP. But I like having them both. Marlette didn’t show enough yet to put him in my top 10, but that’s just me. As the kids say in the AT&T ads, more is better than less.

      • I just replied on the 1/24 squalls 😉 but to sum-up: normal minor-league BABIP is not .300, but is higher because of lower quality defenders and defensive positioning errors. Marlette isn’t 60 points lucky, he’s more like 30 points. You can get 30 points “lucky” by hitting the ball hard, which Marlette does, and because Marlette goes the other way consistently right now he can increase his BABIP, Joe-Mauer-style (.350 BABIP career by going to RF).

        Littlewood’s numbers are either a) artificially low with that .293 BABIP that is below league-average or b) low because Littlewood is not a plus professional hitter and is already being exposed and relying on not swinging to help his OBP. Also, Marlette has thrown out a higher percentage for his career than Littlewood, as both guys learn the position. Like you said, it’s good to have both, and I’m glad Littlewood has continued to take walks, but I can understand Marlette being ranked higher. Littlewood has a great attitude and quite a bit of natural talent, but I still think Marlette’s ceiling is higher at this point.

      • Glad to have your thoughts, as always, G. My concern is that his OBP = BABIP; Littlewood’s is 50 points higher than his BABIP. Their ISO is awfully similar (.144 Marlette; .133 Littlewood), and mostly comes from Marlette having 6 HR vs. 3, and that’s not much to go on. So I’m skeptical of the OBP, and the ISO wasn’t all that special.
        As I say, I’m not down on Marlette, I’m just less enthused than the new consensus. Of course, I’ve been that way on Romero too. I’ll be very happy to get more enthused if he shows more. We’ll see how it shakes out.

  2. One more note. I don’t quibble with Marlette being higher than Littlewood (the relative rankings are just throwing darts anyway), but I wouldn’t put either in the Top 10. And especially not in a Top 10 that excludes Choi. Maybe that clarifies.

  3. Hey Jim,
    I was reading through a chat from one of the guys that does the rankings (I cannot remember who), and the reason he gave for not having Choi in his top-10 is because Choi is a bat without a true position. He stated that Choi will not hit enough to profile very well at 1st base. That sucks, but I can understand that line of thinking.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s