Don’t Look Now, But Ruggiano Reminds Us Of …

In the first part we found a lot to like about Justin Ruggiano. But we are still like the dogged best friend who smells a rat and doesn’t trust the smarmy new stepdad …  [by continuing this theme we are not implying anything about Ruggiano himself, of course … ] We used our Flowchart Profiler…

Summing Up Saunders-for-Happ

One-for-one trades involving established major leaguers take some guts, of course, because there isn’t any wiggle room.  Either you got the better player or you didn’t. I think we established that healthy Michael Saunders is the superior player to J.A. Happ. In the end it depends on that word “healthy.” Because for all the shiny…

Applying Our New Tools to Nelson Cruz (1st of 3)

I keep dinking and fussing around with my “new toolbox” — and I’ll publish the whole set of explanatory material eventually, but events now dictate that it be actually employed in the field. So off we go, and we’ll explain what we need to along the way. Nelson Cruz “Flowchart Profile” 1. Does he consistently…

Our Cruz Hitting Profile Explained (2nd of 3)

In the first part we used our not-yet-fully-revealed but “fully-operational” … [its a trap!  not really] … Flowchart Profiler to zero in on Nelson Cruz’ non-random skill set. We found: Cruz has the all-important power factor: consistently hitting the ball hard in the air. Cruz does not consistently hit line drives for hits-in-play. Cruz does…

How Much Will Cruz Regress to the Mean? (3rd of 3)

In the first parts we identified Nelson Cruz’ Flowchart Profile (Power: yes; Line Drives: no; Plate Skills: no), and learned that among hitters with that skill-set his career stats (.829 OPS) are considerably above the mean (.754 OPS). More than that, he’s coming off two seasons (.833 and .859) that are above his career norms.…